Tale of two mexicos
For those not in the know, Mexico just had its Presidential election. Although there are three main parties, PRI, PAN, and PRD. Only the candidates from PAN and PRD presented viable candidacies. In one sense this is a milestone. For decades PRI ran the country as a virtual one party state, last stealing a Presidential election as recently as 1988, because of the blatancy of the fraud the Mexican people demanded and got a fair election agency. In 2000 Vicente Fox of the PAN was elected president for a legally mandated one six year term. PAN or National Action Party is roughly equivalent to the Republican party, the PRD is roughly equivalent to the Democratic Party. Due to its decades of misrule the PRI, although technically the largest party, seems destined to become a minor party unless there are major reforms. In my own informal poll I took around here only the old seem to favor the PRI.
PRD is represented by Luis Obrador, a charismatic, almost messianic, former successful Mayor of Mexico city. Therein lies his main problem. While he initially had a large lead Felipe Calderon, the candidate of the PAN, convinced many middle class that Obrador was a Hugo Chavez in the waiting. As of today Elections officials reported that Calderon won by less than 1% of the vote.
What the future will bring I am not sure, Obrador is contesting the results, demanding a recount but he is also threatening massive demonstrations which confirms the fears that many have of him, that he is for Democracy only if it is for him.
The curious thing about this election, and the reason I titled it tale of two mexicos is that the country was mostly evenly split by region with all of the northern states voting for Calderon and nearly all of the southern states for Obrador, neatly flipping Americas Blue Red divide. Like America the northern states are wealthier and the south is poorer, unlike America the north is more conservative, but this divide is strictly class based unlike Americas divide, which is mostly cultural. In Mexico it seems people vote along the lines of economic self interest. This is not to say that there is no cultural divide in Mexico, the southern states are more ethnically mixed with a greater proportion of orginal americans than in the north.
It was interesting to watch an election based more on economics and quality of life and not on other issues like school prayer, flag burning, war, etc. not that I am equating war with school prayer as an issue, just that neither is an issue at all. Security is an issue, but one based more on routine crime prevention and not based on protection from mass murdering terrorists.
Being in China for so many years I missed the spectacle of daily elections, but democracy in America since 9/11 has taken a dark turn where simply disagreeing in politics makes people call others treasonous or fascist depending on their position. I missed elections based on geniune ideas.
As for me, not being Mexican I kept my opinion mostly to myself, my own economic self interests would have me prefer Calderon, the peso would trade at a higher rate under him, allowing me to take more money home. Personally, I would like to see more attention paid to the southern states, which is what Obrador would certainly do.
Being that this is such a close election the thing I worry about it unrest, I would prefer a runoff election but Mexico is not set up for such a system, so it seems whoever is ultimately certified the winner will lack legitimacy in the eyes of many. Kind of like its neighbor to the north.
PRD is represented by Luis Obrador, a charismatic, almost messianic, former successful Mayor of Mexico city. Therein lies his main problem. While he initially had a large lead Felipe Calderon, the candidate of the PAN, convinced many middle class that Obrador was a Hugo Chavez in the waiting. As of today Elections officials reported that Calderon won by less than 1% of the vote.
What the future will bring I am not sure, Obrador is contesting the results, demanding a recount but he is also threatening massive demonstrations which confirms the fears that many have of him, that he is for Democracy only if it is for him.
The curious thing about this election, and the reason I titled it tale of two mexicos is that the country was mostly evenly split by region with all of the northern states voting for Calderon and nearly all of the southern states for Obrador, neatly flipping Americas Blue Red divide. Like America the northern states are wealthier and the south is poorer, unlike America the north is more conservative, but this divide is strictly class based unlike Americas divide, which is mostly cultural. In Mexico it seems people vote along the lines of economic self interest. This is not to say that there is no cultural divide in Mexico, the southern states are more ethnically mixed with a greater proportion of orginal americans than in the north.
It was interesting to watch an election based more on economics and quality of life and not on other issues like school prayer, flag burning, war, etc. not that I am equating war with school prayer as an issue, just that neither is an issue at all. Security is an issue, but one based more on routine crime prevention and not based on protection from mass murdering terrorists.
Being in China for so many years I missed the spectacle of daily elections, but democracy in America since 9/11 has taken a dark turn where simply disagreeing in politics makes people call others treasonous or fascist depending on their position. I missed elections based on geniune ideas.
As for me, not being Mexican I kept my opinion mostly to myself, my own economic self interests would have me prefer Calderon, the peso would trade at a higher rate under him, allowing me to take more money home. Personally, I would like to see more attention paid to the southern states, which is what Obrador would certainly do.
Being that this is such a close election the thing I worry about it unrest, I would prefer a runoff election but Mexico is not set up for such a system, so it seems whoever is ultimately certified the winner will lack legitimacy in the eyes of many. Kind of like its neighbor to the north.
